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Is Earth warming from the Sun, or from us?

Earth Science Heliophysics
atmosphereclimatecarbon Datasets: 1 30–90 min
The synthesis

Measure the Sun's actual energy output (Heliophysics) and set it against Earth's outgoing energy (Earth). The gap, and how it tracks the solar cycle, separates Sun-driven change from human-driven warming.

Is Earth warming from the Sun, or from us?

What you can answer

  • Compare the Sun’s measured output (TSIS-1) with Earth’s net energy budget (CERES) to see which way the imbalance points.
  • Test how much recent warming follows the ~11-year solar cycle versus a steady greenhouse trend.

What you can NOT answer with these datasets alone

  • Pin a single year’s temperature on one cause — oceans store heat and the system lags.
  • Replace a full climate model — this is the energy boundary condition, not the whole simulation.

The cross-division bridge

This question is Earth-anchored, reaching into Heliophysics. The Earth side is CERES EBAF (outgoing/reflected energy at the top of the atmosphere). The Heliophysics side is TSIS-1 aboard the ISS, which measures total and spectral solar irradiance — the actual energy input. Differencing input against output isolates the planet’s energy imbalance and how much of it co-varies with the solar cycle.

Sources

From another NASA division

Heliophysics
TSIS-1 Total & Spectral Solar Irradiance
The Sun's measured energy output from the ISS — the actual top-of-atmosphere input to Earth's climate.
TSIS1_TSIS · full-disk, daily

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